Agent Skills
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jppm-methods
GitHub指导JPP&M稿件的研究设计，涵盖实验、政策评估等。强调使用政策现实刺激物、明确反事实及目标样本，区分前瞻与回顾性设计，避免常见拒稿陷阱，确保方法服务于政策推断。
Trigger Scenarios
决定研究问题所需的证据类型（如实验、调查）
政策实施后需构建可信反事实以证明影响
标签/披露实验的刺激物缺乏政策现实性
样本排除了政策旨在保护的目标人群
Install
npx skills add brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills --skill jppm-methods -g -y
SKILL.md
Frontmatter
{
"name": "jppm-methods",
"description": "Use when choosing and designing the evidence for a Journal of Public Policy & Marketing (JPP&M) manuscript — experiments with policy-realistic stimuli, quasi-experimental policy evaluation (DiD, RDD, synthetic control), surveys, field data, or meta-analysis. Designs the studies; it does not estimate them (jppm-data-analysis)."
}
Methods & Evaluation Design (jppm-methods)
When to trigger
- Deciding whether the question needs an experiment, a policy evaluation, a survey, or a synthesis
- A policy rolled out and you must find a credible counterfactual before claiming impact
- Your label/disclosure experiment uses stimuli no agency could ever mandate
- The sample excludes the very population the policy is meant to protect
- You are combining lab and field evidence and need the pieces to carry distinct weight
Methodological pluralism, disciplined by the policy question
JPP&M accepts a wider methods palette than most marketing journals — randomized experiments, quasi-experimental evaluation, surveys, field and archival data, meta-analysis, qualitative work — but the choice must follow from the policy inference required. Two questions dominate: Would the proposed instrument work? (prospective — usually experiments with realistic stimuli) and Did the enacted instrument work? (retrospective — evaluation designs with explicit counterfactuals). A submission that answers the retrospective question with before/after trends, or the prospective one with fantasy stimuli, fails regardless of statistical polish. Missing counterfactual reasoning in an evaluation design is one of this journal's known desk-reject patterns.
Prospective designs: policy-realistic experiments
- Mandatable stimuli. Test warning/label/disclosure formats an agency could actually require — real estate on a package, formats from the live rulemaking (e.g., FDA front-of-package proposals), not a full-screen banner no rule would compel.
- Treatment contrasts = decision options. Conditions should map to the regulator's choice set (status quo vs. proposed rule vs. stricter alternative), so each pairwise contrast answers a decision.
- Consequential outcomes. Choice with real stakes, purchases, incentivized behavior — self-reported intentions alone are weak currency for a claim that a rule will change behavior.
- Policy-relevant samples. Recruit the protected population (smokers for tobacco warnings, low-income households for financial disclosures, parents for children's marketing). A student panel cannot carry a vulnerability claim; when using Prolific/CloudResearch, screen and quota accordingly.
- Marketplace noise. Add realistic competing information (cluttered shelf, competing claims); effects that survive noise are the ones that survive markets.
Retrospective designs: evaluation with a counterfactual
| Design | Use when | JPP&M-specific cautions |
|---|---|---|
| Difference-in-differences | policy adopted in some states/markets/categories, not others | staggered adoption needs heterogeneity-robust estimators; argue parallel trends behaviorally, not just visually |
| Regression discontinuity | eligibility threshold or size cutoff assigns exposure | check manipulation at the cutoff (firms sort!); effects are local to the threshold |
| Synthetic control | one large unit treated (a city soda tax, a national ban) | pre-period fit and placebo runs are the argument |
| Event study | timing of enforcement/announcement is sharp | anticipation by firms and media coverage blur the event date |
| Interrupted time series | no untreated comparison exists at all | weakest option; state so and bound the claims |
Firms' strategic responses are both a threat and a finding: reformulation, pre-emptive compliance, or channel-shifting can contaminate the comparison group — design to detect it (untreated outcomes, supply-side data) rather than assume it away.
Surveys, qualitative work, and synthesis
- Surveys earn their place for constructs no archive holds (perceived deception, privacy concern, financial anxiety) — use validated scales and probability or well-quota'd samples when claims are population-level.
- Qualitative designs are welcome for vulnerable populations whose experience frames the policy problem; document access, consent, and IRB care to a higher standard, and avoid designs that further burden participants.
- Meta-analysis suits mature streams (warning-label effects, disclosure formats); code moderators the regulator controls (format, placement, dose).
Checklist
- The design answers the paper's policy question (prospective vs. retrospective) directly
- Experimental stimuli are mandatable and conditions map to the regulator's choice set
- The sample includes the population the policy targets; vulnerable groups are powered, not token
- Evaluations name the counterfactual and the assignment mechanism explicitly
- Firm strategic response is measured or ruled out, not assumed absent
- Ethics/IRB treatment matches the sensitivity of the population studied
- Pre-registration or a pre-analysis plan is in place for confirmatory studies
Anti-patterns
- Before/after theater: a pre/post trend presented as policy impact with no comparison group
- Fantasy stimuli: disclosure formats no agency could mandate, generalized to regulation
- Convenience-sample vulnerability claims: conclusions about protected groups from panels that exclude them
- Intentions-only evidence for behavior-change claims
- One-method dogma: forcing an experiment onto a question that demands field variation, or vice versa
- Sorted cutoffs: an RDD where firms demonstrably manipulate the threshold, unexamined
Output format
【Policy question type】prospective (would it work) / retrospective (did it work)
【Design】experiment / DiD / RDD / synthetic control / survey / meta-analysis / qualitative
【Counterfactual】comparison group + assignment logic (retrospective) or control condition logic (prospective)
【Stimuli & sample】mandatable formats; policy-target population included
【Firm response plan】how strategic reactions are detected or bounded
【Next skill】jppm-data-analysis
Version History
- 9f86f09 Current 2026-07-19 16:48
