AI原生工程的五个阶段（以及为什么大多数团队仍处于零阶段）

"AI-native engineering" has become the phrase everyone throws around and nobody defines.

"AI 原生工程"已经成为一个人人都在说却没人去定义的词。

Vendors use it to sell tooling. Founders use it in board decks. CTOs use it when they mean "we bought Copilot licenses."

供应商用它来销售工具。创始人在董事会演示文稿中使用它。CTO 在他们想表达“我们购买了 Copilot 许可证”时使用它。

None of that is AI-native engineering.

这些都不是AI原生工程。

AI-native engineering is when AI changes how a team operates. The workflows, review processes, quality gates, and measurement systems are rebuilt around AI as a core participant.

AI 原生工程是指 AI 改变了团队的运作方式。工作流、审查流程、质量门禁和度量系统都围绕 AI 作为核心参与者进行重构。

Most teams haven't done this. They've added tools on top of the same operating model they ran three years ago.

大多数团队还没有这样做。他们只是在三年前运行的相同运营模式之上添加了工具。

Where You Actually Are

你实际所处的阶段

CTO confidence in scaling AI dropped to 48% this year. Down from 82% in 2024, per Akkodis. HCLTech reports 43% of enterprise AI initiatives are expected to fail. Gartner surveyed 350 large companies that cut staff to fund AI. Most saw marginal gains at best.

今年CTO对扩展AI的信心降至48%。根据Akkodis的数据，这一比例低于2024年的82%。HCLTech报告称，43%的企业AI项目预计将失败。Gartner调查了350家裁员以资助AI的大型公司。大多数公司最多只看到了微乎其微的收益。

The tools work. The operating models haven't caught up.

工具很有效。但运营模式还没跟上。

That gap is wider than most CTOs think. And it's getting more expensive to ignore.

这一差距比大多数CTO想象的要大。而且忽视它的代价正变得越来越高。

Everyone's Talking About Factories. Most Teams Aren't Ready for One.

每个人都在谈论工厂。大多数团队还没准备好迎接它。

The software factory conversation has exploded. Zach Lloyd published an internal memo declaring his engineers are "factory engineers, not product engineers." Chamath talks about the factory his team is building at 8090. Microsoft is pitching Agent Factories.

关于"软件工厂"的讨论已经爆发。Zach Lloyd发布了一份内部备忘录，宣布他的工程师是"工厂工程师，而不是产品工程师"。Chamath谈论了他的团队在8090正在建设的工厂。Microsoft正在推销Agent Factories。

Factories are Stage 3 or 4. Most teams are at Stage 0.

工厂处于第3或第4阶段。大多数团队处于第0阶段。

I run Limestone Digital. Hundreds of AI-native engineers, embedded across 100+ companies, many of them PE-backed mid-market.

我运营Limestone Digital。数百名AI原生工程师，...