polymarket

GitHub

查询Polymarket预测市场数据,包括事件、市场价格、订单簿和历史记录。支持概率解析与展示,适用于分析博彩赔率或特定事件发生可能性。

optional-skills/finance/polymarket/SKILL.md NousResearch/hermes-agent

Trigger Scenarios

询问预测市场赔率或概率 查询Polymarket市场数据 获取订单簿或价格历史 监控预测市场动态

Install

npx skills add NousResearch/hermes-agent --skill polymarket -g -y
More Options

Non-standard path

npx skills add https://github.com/NousResearch/hermes-agent/tree/main/optional-skills/finance/polymarket -g -y

Use without installing

npx skills use NousResearch/hermes-agent@polymarket

指定 Agent (Claude Code)

npx skills add NousResearch/hermes-agent --skill polymarket -a claude-code -g -y

安装 repo 全部 skill

npx skills add NousResearch/hermes-agent --all -g -y

预览 repo 内 skill

npx skills add NousResearch/hermes-agent --list

SKILL.md

Frontmatter
{
    "name": "polymarket",
    "tags": [
        "polymarket",
        "prediction-markets",
        "market-data",
        "trading"
    ],
    "author": "Hermes Agent + Teknium",
    "license": "MIT",
    "version": "1.0.0",
    "platforms": [
        "linux",
        "macos",
        "windows"
    ],
    "description": "Query Polymarket: markets, prices, orderbooks, history."
}

Polymarket — Prediction Market Data

Query prediction market data from Polymarket using their public REST APIs. All endpoints are read-only and require zero authentication.

See references/api-endpoints.md for the full endpoint reference with curl examples.

When to Use

  • User asks about prediction markets, betting odds, or event probabilities
  • User wants to know "what are the odds of X happening?"
  • User asks about Polymarket specifically
  • User wants market prices, orderbook data, or price history
  • User asks to monitor or track prediction market movements

Key Concepts

  • Events contain one or more Markets (1:many relationship)
  • Markets are binary outcomes with Yes/No prices between 0.00 and 1.00
  • Prices ARE probabilities: price 0.65 means the market thinks 65% likely
  • outcomePrices field: JSON-encoded array like ["0.80", "0.20"]
  • clobTokenIds field: JSON-encoded array of two token IDs [Yes, No] for price/book queries
  • conditionId field: hex string used for price history queries
  • Volume is in USDC (US dollars)

Three Public APIs

  1. Gamma API at gamma-api.polymarket.com — Discovery, search, browsing
  2. CLOB API at clob.polymarket.com — Real-time prices, orderbooks, history
  3. Data API at data-api.polymarket.com — Trades, open interest

Typical Workflow

When a user asks about prediction market odds:

  1. Search using the Gamma API public-search endpoint with their query
  2. Parse the response — extract events and their nested markets
  3. Present market question, current prices as percentages, and volume
  4. Deep dive if asked — use clobTokenIds for orderbook, conditionId for history

Presenting Results

Format prices as percentages for readability:

  • outcomePrices ["0.652", "0.348"] becomes "Yes: 65.2%, No: 34.8%"
  • Always show the market question and probability
  • Include volume when available

Example: "Will X happen?" — 65.2% Yes ($1.2M volume)

Parsing Double-Encoded Fields

The Gamma API returns outcomePrices, outcomes, and clobTokenIds as JSON strings inside JSON responses (double-encoded). When processing with Python, parse them with json.loads(market['outcomePrices']) to get the actual array.

Rate Limits

Generous — unlikely to hit for normal usage:

  • Gamma: 4,000 requests per 10 seconds (general)
  • CLOB: 9,000 requests per 10 seconds (general)
  • Data: 1,000 requests per 10 seconds (general)

Limitations

  • This skill is read-only — it does not support placing trades
  • Trading requires wallet-based crypto authentication (EIP-712 signatures)
  • Some new markets may have empty price history
  • Geographic restrictions apply to trading but read-only data is globally accessible

Version History

  • 8430c1b Current 2026-08-20 06:05

Same Skill Collection

optional-skills/autonomous-ai-agents/antigravity-cli/SKILL.md
optional-skills/autonomous-ai-agents/blackbox/SKILL.md
optional-skills/autonomous-ai-agents/grok/SKILL.md
optional-skills/autonomous-ai-agents/honcho/SKILL.md
optional-skills/autonomous-ai-agents/openhands/SKILL.md
optional-skills/blockchain/evm/SKILL.md
optional-skills/blockchain/hyperliquid/SKILL.md
optional-skills/blockchain/solana/SKILL.md
optional-skills/communication/one-three-one-rule/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/audiocraft-audio-generation/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/baoyu-article-illustrator/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/baoyu-comic/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/blender-mcp/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/concept-diagrams/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/creative-ideation/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/draw-your-font/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/heartmula/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/kanban-video-orchestrator/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/meme-generation/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/pixel-art/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/simple-english/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/social-media-content-calendar/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/tldraw-offline/SKILL.md
optional-skills/creative/unreal-mcp/SKILL.md
optional-skills/data-science/jupyter-notebook/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/actual-setup/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/cli/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/docker-management/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/hermes-s6-container-supervision/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/inference-sh-cli/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/pinggy-tunnel/SKILL.md
optional-skills/devops/watchers/SKILL.md
optional-skills/dogfood/adversarial-ux-test/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/3-statement-model/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/comps-analysis/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/dcf-model/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/excel-author/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/lbo-model/SKILL.md
optional-skills/finance/stocks/SKILL.md
optional-skills/gaming/minecraft-modpack-server/SKILL.md
optional-skills/health/fitness-nutrition/SKILL.md
optional-skills/health/neuroskill-bci/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mcp/mcp-oauth-remote-gateway/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mcp/mcporter/SKILL.md
optional-skills/migration/openclaw-migration/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mlops/accelerate/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mlops/clip/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mlops/flash-attention/SKILL.md
optional-skills/mlops/guidance/SKILL.md

Metadata

Files
0
Version
8430c1b
Hash
6a728865
Indexed
2026-08-20 06:05

Главная - Вики-сайт
Copyright © 2011-2026 iteam. Current version is 2.155.2. UTC+08:00, 2026-08-20 10:35
浙ICP备14020137号-1 $Гость$