Agent Skillsaiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw › statistical-problem-formulation

statistical-problem-formulation

GitHub

用于将宽泛主题转化为精确统计问题,明确数据、模型、目标参数、假设及评估标准。

external/agents/stat_research_agent/skills/statistical-problem-formulation/SKILL.md aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw

Trigger Scenarios

设计统计方法前 撰写理论或实验报告前

Install

npx skills add aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw --skill statistical-problem-formulation -g -y
More Options

Non-standard path

npx skills add https://github.com/aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw/tree/main/external/agents/stat_research_agent/skills/statistical-problem-formulation -g -y

Use without installing

npx skills use aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw@statistical-problem-formulation

指定 Agent (Claude Code)

npx skills add aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw --skill statistical-problem-formulation -a claude-code -g -y

安装 repo 全部 skill

npx skills add aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw --all -g -y

预览 repo 内 skill

npx skills add aiming-lab/AutoResearchClaw --list

SKILL.md

Frontmatter
{
    "name": "statistical-problem-formulation",
    "metadata": {
        "category": "domain",
        "priority": "1",
        "trigger-keywords": "problem formulation,statistical formulation,estimand,assumptions,data model,hypothesis,theory target",
        "applicable-stages": "1,2,3,4,5"
    },
    "description": "Formulate statistical research problems with formal notation, target parameters, assumptions, hypotheses, evaluation criteria, and theory targets.\n"
}

Statistical Problem Formulation

Overview

Use this skill before any method design, theory, experiment, or report writing. The goal is to transform a broad topic into a precise statistical problem.

Required Formulation Elements

Element Questions
Observed data What is observed? What is the sample size? Are samples iid, dependent, clustered, censored, or selected?
Data model What family of distributions or data-generating processes is considered?
Target What parameter, decision, prediction, or risk is the object of study?
Assumptions What must hold for the target to be identifiable or the method to work?
Hypotheses What claims should be supported, refuted, or made inconclusive?
Criteria What metrics define success or failure?
Theory target What property should be derived: bias, variance, consistency, rate, coverage, error bound, robustness, or impossibility?

Handoff Schema

The problem formulation should be precise enough to support this structured handoff:

topic_id: TXX
title: ""
research_question: ""
observed_data:
  notation: ""
  sampling: iid | dependent | clustered | time_series | selected | unknown
data_model:
  notation: ""
  family: ""
target:
  name: ""
  notation: ""
  type: estimand | decision | prediction | risk | descriptive_quantity
  truth_source: analytic | simulation | oracle | empirical_reference | not_applicable
assumptions:
  structural: []
  sampling: []
  regularity: []
  identifiability: []
claims:
  - id: C1
    statement: ""
    formal_statement: ""
evaluation_criteria:
  - name: ""
    direction: ""
theory_targets:
  - identifiability
  - bias
  - consistency
blocking_ambiguities: []

Template

# Problem Formulation

## Research Question
...

## Observed Data
Let ...

## Data-Generating Model
Assume ...

## Target / Estimand
Define ...

## Candidate Procedure Class
We consider procedures ...

## Assumptions
1. ...

## Claims / Hypotheses
- ...

## Evaluation Criteria
- ...

## Theoretical Questions
- ...

## Experimental Questions
- ...

Quality Bar

A formulation passes only if another researcher could implement or analyze the problem without guessing the target, assumptions, or success criteria.

Version History

  • e2e23c9 Current 2026-07-25 07:48

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Metadata

Files
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Version
be4ba47
Hash
8e2bc671
Indexed
2026-07-25 07:48

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