Agent Skills › ginlix-ai/LangAlpha › thesis-tracker

thesis-tracker

GitHub

用于投资论点追踪的工具，支持定义或加载投资主题、记录数据更新、维护评分卡与催化剂日历，并生成简洁的总结报告，帮助投资者持续评估信念强度与风险。

skills/thesis-tracker/SKILL.md ginlix-ai/LangAlpha

Trigger Scenarios

创建新的投资论点更新现有投资论点的数据点生成投资论点评分卡查看催化剂日历

Install

npx skills add ginlix-ai/LangAlpha --skill thesis-tracker -g -y

More Options

Use without installing

npx skills use ginlix-ai/LangAlpha@thesis-tracker

指定 Agent (Claude Code)

npx skills add ginlix-ai/LangAlpha --skill thesis-tracker -a claude-code -g -y

安装 repo 全部 skill

npx skills add ginlix-ai/LangAlpha --all -g -y

预览 repo 内 skill

npx skills add ginlix-ai/LangAlpha --list

SKILL.md

Frontmatter

{
    "name": "thesis-tracker",
    "license": "Derived from anthropics\/financial-services-plugins (Apache-2.0). Modified for langalpha.",
    "description": "Investment thesis scorecard: track pillars, risks, catalysts, and conviction over time"
}

Thesis Tracker

Workflow

Step 1: Define or Load Thesis

If creating a new thesis:

Company: Name and ticker
Position: Long or Short
Thesis statement: 1-2 sentence core thesis (e.g., "Long ACME — margin expansion from pricing power + operating leverage as mix shifts to software")
Key pillars: 3-5 supporting arguments
Key risks: 3-5 risks that would invalidate the thesis
Catalysts: Upcoming events that could prove/disprove the thesis (earnings, product launches, regulatory decisions)
Target price / valuation: What's it worth if the thesis plays out
Stop-loss trigger: What would make you exit

If updating an existing thesis, ask the user for the new data point or development.

Step 2: Update Log

For each new data point or development:

Date: When this happened
Data point: What changed (earnings beat, management departure, competitor move, etc.)
Thesis impact: Does this strengthen, weaken, or neutralize a specific pillar?
Action: No change / Increase position / Trim / Exit
Updated conviction: High / Medium / Low

Step 3: Thesis Scorecard

Maintain a running scorecard:

Pillar	Original Expectation	Current Status	Trend
Revenue growth >20%	On track	Q3 was 22%	Stable
Margin expansion	Behind	Margins flat YoY	Concerning
New product launch	Pending	Delayed to Q2	Watch

Step 4: Catalyst Calendar

Track upcoming catalysts:

Date	Event	Expected Impact	Notes

Step 5: Output

Thesis summary suitable for:

Morning meeting discussion
Portfolio review
Risk committee presentation

Format: Concise markdown or Word doc with the scorecard, recent updates, and current conviction level.

Important Notes

A thesis should be falsifiable — if nothing could disprove it, it's not a thesis
Track disconfirming evidence as rigorously as confirming evidence
Review theses at least quarterly, even when nothing dramatic has happened
If the user manages multiple positions, offer to do a full portfolio thesis review
Store thesis data in a structured format so it can be referenced across sessions