Sequential A/B Testing Keeps the World Streaming Netflix Part 1: Continuous Data

Sequential A/B Testing Keeps the World Streaming Netflix Part 1: Continuous Data

摘要

Can you spot any difference between the two data streams below? Each observation is the time interval between a Netflix member hitting the play button and playback commencing, i.e., play-delay. These observations are from a particular type of A/B test that Netflix runs called a software canary or regression-driven experiment. More on that below — for now, what’s important is that we want to quickly and confidently identify any difference in the distribution of play-delay — or conclude that, within some tolerance, there is no difference.

In this blog post, we will develop a statistical procedure to do just that, and describe the impact of these developments at Netflix. The key idea is to switch from a “fixed time horizon” to an “any-time valid” framing of the problem.